Hi ZS, assuming that whether or even otherwise one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, nevertheless?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as an independent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent situation. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Propensity the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if it is exactly what your issue is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately your own.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 through 10 million, which comes from 1 chance out of 192,307.

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